With 37 seats in the Senate up for election this year, the Democratic majority may be in jeopardy, if certain possibilities were to occur.
There are two seats where the Democrats don't, almost for sure, have the seats secured due to retirements: North Dakota and Delaware. In Delaware, Attorney General Beau Biden has chosen to not run for his father's former seat, which means that the popular Republican Mike Castle has a very good chance at election. In North Dakota, Democrat Byron Dorgan's retirement has taken away the Dem's best chance at reelection, because the state has been tending towards the red in the past few years.
The second possibilty is that certain incumbents' chances at reelection are diminishing. These seats include Harry Reid, the Senate Majority Leader, D-Nev., Blanche Lincoln, D-Ark., Ken Salazar, D-Co., and President Obama's seat in Illinois. Reid's approval ratings are approximately 30%, and his opponents, a Miss-America runner-up and a son of a basketball coach notorious for scandals, are faring much better in the polls. Three surveys in two weeks have shown Lincoln losing to four other candidates in her run for a third term. In Illinois, the Democratic candidate, Alexis Giannoulias, has been portrayed in a corrupt way, and with the public's outrage with the impeachment of their governor, being portrayed as such could really hurt Giannoulias' chances. In Colorado, Michael Bennet, who took Salazar's seat, is having trouble gaining recognition among his voters.
I really doubt that the Democrats will lose their majority, because for that to happen, the perfect scenarios will have to favor the Republicans, and while it is possible that they will gain some seats, it is not very probable that every single event will happen to favor the Republicans.
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